Good morning. After Monday’s widespread showers, Houston will now see a protracted stretch of colder than normal weather, with high temperatures not climbing out of the 50s every day until next Monday or Tuesday. It’s unlikely that the metro area will experience a freeze this week, but that isn’t out of the query for a lot inland areas. Finally, we’re continuing to look at the potential of a warm-up next week, and the potential for rainfall just before, or on Thanksgiving.
Tuesday
With a good pressure gradient across the region within the wake of Monday’s cold front, we’ll proceed to see brisk northerly winds for much of the day. These winds, and a few lingering clouds, will make our “high” temperatures within the mid-50s today feel fairly chilly indeed. In the event you’re wondering about rain probabilities, they’re mostly nil until this weekend. After gusting to about 25 mph today, winds should die down some this evening, with lows dropping to around 40 degrees in much of Houston. Conditions shall be colder still north and west of the urban area.
Wednesday
Wednesday should bring more of the identical partly to mostly cloudy skies, and highs within the mid-50s. Northerly winds will still be present, but more on the order of sustained at 10 mph, and gusts to fifteen mph or so. Expect one other chilly night within the low-40s in Houston.
Thursday
An upper-level system works its way toward our area on Thursday, so we are able to expect more clouds to assist keep our highs within the mid-50s. There may be a slight probability of sunshine rain with this weather system, but mostly we’ll probably just see gray skies. After the upper-level low moves through we should always see some briefly clearing skies on Thursday night into Friday morning, and this can probably give us our coldest night of the week. Parts of Houston may even see the upper-30s, with a light-weight freeze possible further inland.
Friday
Expect partly sunny conditions, with highs within the mid-50s. Lows shall be a couple of degrees warmer on Friday night, but still dropping into the mid-40s.
Saturday and Sunday
The weekend forecast remains to be form of a muddle, a minimum of Saturday. There’s the potential for low pressure within the Gulf of Mexico to bring a healthy probability of rain into the Houston region on Saturday, but there’s not an entire lot of consensus in where the models ultimately bring it. For now, I’d say the Houston region has a one-in-three probability of rain, with perhaps barely higher odds along the coast. Othewise expect mostly cloudy skies and highs within the 50s on Saturday. Sunday should see clearer skies, with low- to non-existent rain probabilities, and highs within the mid- to upper-50s.
Next week
Monday looks partly sunny, with continued cool weather. Nevertheless by Tuesday temperatures look to be on the upswing, rising from the 60s to perhaps low- 70s by Thanksgiving. Sooner or later next week, possibly on Thursday night or Friday, one other front may swing through to chill things back down. It’s value noting that there’s a fairly strong signal in the worldwide models for shot of rainfall within the Wednesday or Thursday period of next week ahead of said front. So I can be prepared for the potential of some rain, sooner or later, on Thanksgiving. Whether this ultimately involves pass nine days from now could be an enormous IF.
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